I’m not buying the poll.
Marsha Blackburn recently sat at 98.6%. One poll showing her up four knocked her market down to 92.4.
“I’ve got a medium position on Blackburn right now... I am considering building that into a large position on Blackburn just because I don’t buy that poll.”
On the show I go over three key things you should check before throwing a poll out.
Abdul El-Sayed up 14 in Emerson, and why I’m only moderately confident and I have not added to his position.
A ground rule double that turned an 8-6 game into 7-6, and the trading bots that kept buying at 99 cents anyway (and got outsmarted by some sharp humans).
Tim Walz signing an executive order that bans something already illegal.
WATCH Predictable w/Stu on my YouTube channel:
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Send this to the friend who wants a nerd like me instead of a bot to do his thinking for him.
Would love for you to send us your questions and your positions at questions@predictableshow.com. I’ll do my best to answer them on the air, which is either a service or a risk depending on the position.
Disclaimer
Predictable provides information and commentary for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing published by Predictable should be considered financial, investment, legal, or professional advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or participate in any market or product. Prediction market odds and analysis are time-sensitive and subject to change. You are solely responsible for any decisions you make based on this content. Participation in prediction markets involves risk, and past performance or analysis is not indicative of future results. Certain platforms and markets may be restricted based on jurisdiction.
