Nancy Lacore was a lock all night, around 95 cents.
Then the early vote came in from her opponent’s turf first, the scoreboard looked scary, and the market panicked and dumped her to a nickel.
Her real votes had not come in yet. So we bought. She closed at 99.9%.
That is the whole game. When the market panics, discipline gets paid.
We covered all of it live last night. Catch up here:
Blaze TV YouTube
Predictable on YouTube
The Livestream Replays on Substack
The video at the top of this post has the combined pre-primary and post-primary Substack livestreams from last night’s action. Definitely worth a watch if you want to continue to learn about how these prediction markets work and how to take advantage of them in the future.
If you want these calls in real time instead of the recap, that is the whole point of being here. Drop your email and subscribe to Predictable for free, so the next time the market panics, you are already in the room.
