I’m not really sure where the time went, but somehow we’re in the home stretch as the midterms are less than 100 days away.
When we’re a long distance out, that’s when you get a lot of spin and high hopes type press narratives. Now, however, is when prediction markets really begin separating reality from spin.
On today’s show, I explained where things stand right now on the fight for Congress and the one problem Republicans simply can’t afford to ignore. We also look at why the Senate remains the real prize, where I think the markets are right (and where they might still be wrong), and how I’m approaching the final 99 days.
The Next Chapter for Predictable
I’ve also been hinting for a while that we’ve been working on some new things behind the scenes.
Today I finally pulled the curtain back, at least a little bit.
We’re getting ready to roll out a premium tier for people who want to go deeper into prediction markets and follow along more closely during election season. We’re still putting the finishing touches on exactly what it’ll include, but one of the MOST common things you ask me is how you can get my picks. While I’ll certainly keep sharing positions on the main show, if you’ve ever wished for more behind-the-scenes access, more discussion, or more insight into how I think through trades, I think you’re going to like where we’re headed.
That said, I also wanted to make something crystal clear.
If you’re perfectly happy watching the show on YouTube, listening on the podcast, or reading these posts here on Substack... nothing is changing. The daily show, articles, commentary and everything you’ve come to expect will still be here. I want Predictable to remain the best free place on the internet to follow election prediction markets.
The premium tier is about adding more—not taking anything away.
Business Time
The next three months are going to be absolutely wild. Make sure you’re bookmarking PredictableShow.com as the place to hang with me through all the madness.
Campaigns will panic. Polls will swing. The media will overreact. Prediction markets will move before everyone else catches up. Someone’s weird fetishes will be outed.
Sounds like fun. Glad you’re here!
If you missed today’s episode, you can watch it here:



